Category Archives: Media

Journalist Who Exposed CIA Found Dead

Hero Journalist Who Exposed CIA Infiltration and Manipulation of Media Found Dead

Udo Ulfkotte, a brave, selfless, hero died on Friday at the age of 56. The legacy he leaves behind is one that gives context to today’s geopolitical relations between the United States and Russia.

Ulfkotte was a world-class German journalist, working for a major Germany newspaper, who came out and exposed how the mainstream media lies for the CIA.

In an interview with RT in October 2014, Ulfkotte explained the CIA’s practice of manipulation and bribery:

“I’ve been a journalist for about 25 years, and I was educated to lie, to betray, and not to tell the truth to the public.

“But seeing right now within the last months how the German and American media tries to bring war to the people in Europe, to bring war to Russia — this is a point of no return and I’m going to stand up and say it is not right what I have done in the past, to manipulate people, to make propaganda against Russia, and it is not right what my colleagues do and have done in the past because they are bribed to betray the people, not only in Germany, all over Europe.”

Ulfkotte also revealed that he was forced to publish the work of intelligence agencies under his name, and he was threatened with termination if he did not comply.

The main reason he said he came out was because the intelligence agencies were pushing disinformation in order to push for war between Europe and Russia.

Ulfkotte’s death was allegedly the result of a heart attack. However, he was aware the possible repercussions that could come from what he was exposing. In an interview with Russia Insider, he said:

“When I told the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (Ulfkotte’s newspaper) that I would publish the book, their lawyers sent me a letter threatening with all legal consequences if I would publish any names or secrets — but I don’t mind. You see, I don’t have children to take care of.”

He knew he would face persecution from the state, and he did. Ulfkotte told RT that German prosecutors searched his house on at least six separate occasions.

Similar information was disclosed through the Church Committee Senate hearings that happened in 1975 with Sen. Frank Church leading the way and exposing the fact that the same thing happened in the U.S. with Operation Mockingbird.

Udo Ulfkotte: European media writing pro-US stories under CIA pressure (more on the subject here):

This all brings us back to now, where we are seeing intelligence agencies and the mainstream media pushing for war with Russia, and clashing against Trump.

Ulfkotte also revealed the fact that there are mainstream media journalists who have been trained as CIA operatives, which is a topic WeAreChange has covered extensively over the years.

Also at the Church hearings, it was revealed that the CIA has developed a poison dart gun that “gives deadly heart attacks and leaves no trace.”

We don’t have all of the facts, and we don’t know exactly what happened to Ulfkotte, but we do know that he was a hero who put everything on the line in order for you to know the truth.

source: http://humansarefree.com/2017/01/hero-journalist-who-exposed-cia.html

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The Ultimate “Fake News” List

The Ultimate “Fake News” List

Originally posted on Mountain Republic: The mainstream media is the primary source of the most harmful, most inaccurate news ever Paul Joseph Watson & Alex Jones Isn’t it ironic how the mainstream media has the nerve to lecture everyone else about “fake news” when they are the primary source of fake news.

Originally posted on Mountain Republic

THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA IS THE PRIMARY SOURCE OF THE MOST HARMFUL, MOST INACCURATE NEWS EVER

Paul Joseph Watson & Alex Jones


Isn’t it ironic how the mainstream media has the nerve to lecture everyone else about “fake news” when they are the primary source of fake news on a consistent basis stretching back years?

Fake news stories and fake narratives put out by the mainstream media have resulted in deaths, destruction and people’s lives being ruined.

The most harmful fake news is routinely published by the mainstream media. They are the main progenitors of fake news.

– The fake news that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction and that Iraq was involved in 9/11, dutifully regurgitated without question by the mainstream media, resulted in hundreds of thousands of dead Iraqis, thousands of dead and injured U.S. troops, and the destabilization of an entire continent.

– The fake news that the rebels in Syria were “moderates” who did not have jihadist sympathies and should be supported led to the destruction of Syria, Libya and the rise of ISIS.

– The fake news narrative that the media was balanced in its coverage of the presidential election was completely obliterated when Wikileaks emails revealed that countless mainstream media reporters were in bed with the Clinton campaign, feeding them debate questionsbeforehand and conspiring with Hillary’s staff to portray her in a positive light.

– The fake news that George Zimmerman was obsessed with Trayvon Martin’s race before the altercation that led to Martin’s death was accomplished by means of NBC deceptively editing an audio tape. This incident stoked racial tensions across the country and laid the groundwork for the violent ‘Black Lives Matter’ movement that was to follow.

– The fake news that produced the “hands up, don’t shoot” narrative, which was proven to be completely fraudulent, led to riots, violent attacks and looting in Ferguson, Missouri, as well as numerous other U.S. cities. Even after the rioting began, the mainstream media continued to legitimize the unrest. Fake news outlets continued to parrot the “hands up, don’t shoot” narrative even after it was proven false.

– The fake news that saw innumerable people accused of rape at college campuses across America, claims that were proven wrong, ruined people’s lives and perpetuated the myth (fake news) that one in five women are raped on college campuses.

– The fake news that George W. Bush served dishonorably during his time in the Air National Guard was broadcast by CBS News with the aid of fake documents. In circulating this fake news, CBS tried to influence the 2004 presidential election but only ended up crucifying their own credibility, leading to Dan Rather’s resignation six months later.

– The fake news that NBC anchor Brian Williams faced enemy fire while helicoptering into Iraq in 2003 was exposed when soldiers who were aboard the helicopter blew the whistle on his lies. Despite admittedly putting out fake news, Williams still has a career in broadcast journalism.

– The fake news narrative that Donald Trump somehow represents the next coming of Hitler has provoked a hysterical anti-Trump hate crime wave across America, with people and property being attacked on a routine basis. The same hysterical fake news narrative was also responsible for violence and riots at Trump events throughout the campaign cycle, as well as assassination attempts on Trump’s life.

– The fake news that Donald Trump had no chance whatsoever of winning the presidential election was proudly pushed by countless mainstream media outlets, with the Huffington Post even predicting that Hillary Clinton had a 98% chance of winning the presidency. When this fake news narrative was completely demolished on November 8, it swept away trust in political polling and the mainstream media to an even greater degree, prompting the backlash that you now see with the corporate press calling everyone else “fake news” when they are the real fake news.

FULL LIST OF FAKE NEWS OUTLETS

– The New York Times
– The Washington Post
– CNN
– NBC News
– MSNBC
– CBS News
– ABC News
– Salon.com
– The Huffington Post
– Rolling Stone
– BBC News
– Sky News
– Financial Times
– Politico
– New York Daily News
– L.A. Times
– USA Today
– US News & World Report
– CBC
– Gawker
– Newsweek
– Time
– Business Insider
– Daily Beast
– VICE
– Yahoo News
– Daily Kos
– Young Turks
– Slate
– NPR
– PBS
– Raw Story
– New Yorker
– Buzzfeed
– MoveOn
– Think Progress
– Media Matters
– Wonkette
– Center for American Progress
– Little Green Footballs
– The Economist

Below is a list of fake news reporters who colluded with the Clinton campaign to promote fake news.

This list is by no means exhaustive, and there are many reporters within these organizations who do not peddle fake news and have spoken out against the mainstream media’s effort to brand dissenting opinion as “fake news”.

For example, Matt Taibbi (no fan of Infowars), has called the Washington Post’s fake news blacklist “disgusting” and “shameful”.

Glenn Greenwald, who has worked with several of the organizations on this list in the past, also completely eviscerated the credibility of the “fake news list” being used by the Washington Post.

The entire “fake news” narrative being pushed by the mainstream media has nothing whatsoever to do with concerns over people being misled.

If that were the case, the mainstream media itself would stop habitually lying to the American people and it’s trustworthiness wouldn’t be in the toilet.

The whole “fake news” narrative is clearly part of a dirty tricks campaign to pressure governments, Google, Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and other tech giants to censor information that is inconvenient to the establishment, for which the mainstream media serves as a mouthpiece.

We are competing with the mainstream media and they’re not happy about dissident voices challenging their monopoly on reality. That’s why they’re forced to resort to underhanded and deceptive means through which to silence their ideological opposition.

By circulating this article and this fake news list, we are not calling for these outlets to be censored, we are simply drawing attention to the fact that the very same entities who cry “fake news” are the primary sources for the most damaging, harmful and woefully inaccurate fake news stories in the history of modern journalism.

via The Ultimate “Fake News” List — 1EarthUnited

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PizzaGate Is it 100% Real

Tweet by conservative : Pizzagate is a worldwide investigation. It cannot be stopped
Truth Seeker

PizzaGate is entirely real, which is perhaps why the massive mainstream media cover-up attempt – to label PizzaGate as a “fake news onslaught” (whatever that is) without reviewing ANY of the pertinent facts or Wikileaks emails – is so troubling for those of us with a moral compass. They’re covering for a child trafficking and abuse ring operating in Washington, DC. That is not okay. None of this is okay.

Now take the other side of the Pizza story

What Is Pizzagate?

The Insane Child Sex Story That Led a Man to Fire a Rifle in a Restaurant, Explained by SPIN

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Sunday, Edgar M. Welch brought a rifle into a Washington, D.C., restaurant and fired it once inside, according to police. Welch drove to Comet Ping Pong from his home in Salisbury, N.C., inspired by a conspiracy theory known as “Pizzagate,” which holds that the neighborhood pizza joint and ping pong emporium is the epicenter of a child sex trafficking ring with connections to John Podesta, chairman of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential campaign, and to Clinton herself.

Pizzagate began gaining traction last month, around the time of the presidential election, when  vigilant citizens on 4chan and Reddit discovered that James Alefantis, owner of Comet Ping Pong appeared several times in the cache of hacked emails belonging to Podesta that were published by Wikileaks. All of the emails to Alefantis were related to a fundraising dinner for the Clinton campaign, which is not surprising. He is something of a celebrity chef in D.C., and the only actual fact on which the Pizzagaters have based their theory is his adjacency to Democratic power brokers. He is a casual acquaintance of Podesta’s brother Tony, according to the New York Times, and he was once in a romantic relationship with the prominent Clinton ally David Brock. That said, Alefantis is very far from the candidate’s inner circle, and has never even met Clinton herself, he told the Times.

Reddit has since deactivated a board devoted to Pizzagate theorizing, and the Reddit post that seems to have first popularized the Pizzagate idea, on /r/The_Donald, has been removed. (“We don’t want witchhunts on our site,” reads the message you receive when you try to access /r/Pizzagate.) Reddit’s belated clampdown was not enough to deter the peddlers of conspiracy theories and fake news that got in on the action, however, generating headlines like “Pizzagate: Podesta pedo perps and Clinton’s international child sex trafficking ring exposed” (Sott.net), and “Pizza Gate- Clintons run a child sex trafficking ring” (Steemit.com).

Low-level political boosters like Alefantis are a dime a dozen in D.C., on both sides of the party divide. How did a passing connection to the Podesta brothers turn him into a deviant mastermind, presiding over grease-stained child sex parties for the Democratic elite? The evidence, as laid out by Pizzagate believers, is startlingly thin. “There’s a good chance that you’re not familiar with this, because you’re probably not a pedophile,” the narrator of a popular YouTube Pizzagate video intones. “But ‘pizza’ is actually a term used by pedophiles, to describe pedophilia, or child porn.”

If you take this ridiculous assertion to be true, Podesta’s inbox is suddenly brimming with discussion of pedophilia: an invitation to a pizza lunch and discussion of the upcoming Supreme Court session at Georgetown University (Predators in the halls of academia!), an advertisement for “everyday low prices in the frozen pizza aisle” at the supermarket chain Safeway (I don’t know how this “frozen pizza” works, but it sounds disgusting and painful for everyone involved!). A lost handkerchief emblazoned with a pizza design mentioned in one Podesta email clearly signifies a preference for underage sex, according to the narrator of the same YouTube video.

If all of this seems like a wild leap of imagination to you, well, that’s just the territory we’re in. Anti-Clinton conspiracies have populated the fringe right-wing media since Hillary’s husband was in office. The Pizzagaters are also deeply invested in the idea that John and Tony Podesta participate in occult sex rituals—based on an email from Marina Abramovic, a world-famous performance artist who sometimes uses violent and sexual imagery in her work. Once you earnestly believe that your political enemies are capable of murdering their own staffers, as one particularly tenacious theory accuses the Clintons of doing, or that they spend their Saturdays beheading small animals and bathing in the blood, an elaborate system of culinary codewords for child rape might not feel so far off.

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Alerted to the abuses that were supposedly being carried out by the Clintons and their allies at Comet Ping Pong, self-appointed investigators began scouring the social media accounts of Alefantis and his employees, generating even more “evidence” against them. A photo of what looks like Comet’s walk-in refrigerator quickly was taken to be some sort of sex dungeon. The crossed ping-pong paddles pictured on the restaurant’s menu refer not to the actual ping-pong tables inside the restaurant, the Pizzagaters claimed, but an arcane symbol supposedly used by pedophiles to safely self-identify to each other. Believers began leaving threatening comments on social media and obscenity-laced messages on Comet’s phone line. “From this insane, fabricated conspiracy theory, we’ve come under constant assault,” Alefantis told the Times last month, weeks before the shooting.

Another photo, pulled from Alefantis’s Instagram account, shows a man holding a toddler. According to the annotations supplied by a Pizzagate believer on Twitter, the yellow beads the man is wearing around his neck are not an ordinary necklace, but a “sex bracelet,” signifying his passion for analingus, presumably with the child he is holding. The photo is also branded with the word HOMOSEXUAL, in big block letters, and many other pieces of supposed evidence against Alefantis and Comet are also characterized by latent or outright homophobia. Another YouTube video notes an Instagram photo of apparently lesbian graffiti in the Comet bathroom as potential support for the idea that young girls are abused there.

Eventually, supporters began “investigating” businesses on the same block as Comet, including an NGO focused on helping Haitian orphans, Snopes points out. One of the more fanciful theories holds that there are underground tunnels connecting the buildings, forming a vast subterranean sex chamber.

All in all, Pizzagate seems like a perfect confluence of several related factors. Long-running paranoia about the Clintons, enabled by Donald Trump’s assertions during the presidential campaign that Hillary should be sent to prison, sets them up as the sorts of evildoers who might partake in pedophilia. The amateur sleuths that run rampant on Reddit and forums like it, responsible for everything from Westworld fan theories to the false accusation of an innocent man after the Boston marathon bombing, dig for clues to support the wild claims. The fake news industry, with access to an audience of millions via Facebook, give these claims the veneer of objective reporting and fact. The post-Gamergate right-wing culture warriors wage coordinated harassment campaigns against their targets, determined to enact justice themselves if the PC liberal media won’t do it. Second-amendment fanaticism suggests armed resistance as a reasonable course of action when your government acts in ways you don’t agree with.

 

But thousands of people are convinced that a paedophilia ring involving people at the highest levels of the Democratic Party is operating out of a Washington pizza restaurant.

The story riveted fringes of Twitter – nearly a million messages were sent last month using the term “pizzagate”.

Tweet by Cernovich: Pizzagate is not going to go away!

 

 

sources: https://truthseeker1313.com/2016/12/07/pizzagate-is-100-real-why-is-media-lying/

http://www.spin.com/2016/12/what-is-pizzagate-the-insane-child-sex-conspiracy-theory-that-led-a-man-to-fire-a-rifle-in-a-restaurant-explanied/

http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-trending-38156985

 

 

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How to Find and Support Trustworthy Journalism

How to Find and Support Trustworthy Journalism – 

If you are hungry for news you can trust, journalism that helps you make decisions about your community, reporting that holds power to account, then this is for you. This is my personal advice for people who want to support journalism that matters. It is just a starting point, it is not comprehensive, and it’ll become stronger and more useful if you add your ideas to it. Use the comments to add your list of newsrooms you subscribe to and support.

Now more than ever, it is important to our democracy that we seek out and support good journalism. Every person is going to construct their media diet differently, so any list I create will be incomplete. My goal here is to provide a framework for you to find the news that will challenge, inspire, inform and engage you.

A few key pieces of advice:

  1. Support local news: Subscribe to your local newspapers, donate to a nonprofit newsrooms, become a member at your public broadcasting stations and support the local businesses that advertise on community news sites. Build a relationship with your local journalists, give them feedback, tell them what you’d like to see covered, share their stories.
  2. Support a mix of media: Construct a diverse media diet with a good mix of indie and alternative news, local, national and international coverage, niche and countervailing points of view. Get outside your bubble.
  3. Support journalism about the causes you care about: If you care about climate change, support environmental journalism. If you care about kids and schools, support a newsrooms focused on education. If you care about hunger and homelessness, support reporting about poverty, etc… (more on that below)

Finally, where ever you land on the web look for the about section, see if they post a code of ethics, figure out who the staff are. Here is a great guide to spotting fake and untrustworthy news.

The advice below focuses mostly on nonprofit newsrooms, but there are many commercial newsrooms who do important work and deserve your support as well. Give them your attention, subscribe, and engage with them too.

Photo by Mike Licht, used via creative commons

LOCAL NEWS: If you want to support local local news start here. I can’t list every local newsrooms deserving of your attention and your support, but there are a number of great directories where you can find links to trustworthy journalism in your area:

(There are other great newsrooms who aren’t in any of these directories. Can’t find a local newsroom near you? Tweet to me@jcstearns and I’ll help you track down a great local newsrooms near you.)

Photo by Brad Frost, used via creative commons

NICHE AND TOPIC FOCUSED REPORTING: If you care about a specific cause, there is likely a reporting project focused on that issue. Below are a few examples organized into imperfect categories, but check out theInstitute for Nonprofit News andThe Media Consortium for longer lists of newsrooms covering these topics. (Add more suggestions in the comments too!)

Photo by Glenn Halog, used via creative commons

PRESS FREEDOM: As the news landscape has shifted fewer and fewer newsroom and journalists have regular access to legal support and protection. This come at a time when we have unprecedented legal, technological and cultural threats to freedom of the press. Support these organizations who are on the front lines of defending the rights of journalists and all of us.

(Also notable are the Committee to Protect Journalists and Reporters Without Borders, though their work is focused more internationally. There are other important rights organizations and government transparency groups whose work intersects with press freedom as well.)

Building a New Infrastructure for News

As with the press freedom groups listed above, there is increasingly a need to support the organizations that support journalists. We have to help create a new infrastructure for independent media. These organizations help train journalists, offer fellowships, fund research and support small independent newsrooms in other ways.

A few of these groups includeDart Center for Journalism and TraumaNational Association of Black JournalistsNational Association of Hispanic JournalistsMaynard Institute,Asian American Journalists AssociationNative American Journalists AssociationNational Lesbian and Gay Journalists AssociationJournalism and Women SymposiumWomen’s Media CenterOnline News Association and others mentioned throughout this post and beyond.)

Today, creating the journalism we want, demands that we help support and defend the media we need.

These places need your support. Your donations will go a long way at all of these newsrooms and organizations. But you can support these places in other ways besides your money. Giving your time, your expertise, or your connections can all help small independent newsrooms. Share their work with a friend or family member via email, social media, or in person. Subscribe to their podcasts, email newsletters, social media accounts. Participate by attending local events, meetings that they are hosting, call-in to talk shows, share feedback when it’s asked for.

Be engaged with the journalism you care about, participate in the news that matters to you, and give what you can to support .

Shared:

Josh Sterns

http://wp.me/p6uZT-w8

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HOLD ON FOLKS- THE MEDIA IS LYING ABOUT WHAT TRUMP SAID LIKE THEY ALWAYS DO! — THE MARSHALL REPORT

So many people are continuing to get sucker punched by angry liberal media who say what the globalists tell them to say! Does anyone actually believe that now that Trump won the election the globalists who own the media and hate him are going to smile and say Trump’s a great guy? No.

What they are doing is cherry picking sound bytes to resemble something Trump said and skewing it to mean something entirely different than what is actually taking place.

Recently the jabber is about Romney the awful “never Trump” town crier to have been appointed secretary of state.  This is another bunch of bull to stir up Trump supporters. It will most likely be Ruddy who is appointed to that position.  Not a turncoat globalist lap dog like Mitt.

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Another media spin is that Trump is not seeking charges against Hillary Clinton.  The truth is Trump did not say this. What he said was – it wasn’t his job to seek charges against Hillary Clinton but it was his job to appoint a capable attorney general and FBI director to pursue any charges by any and all means necessary.

Trump’s advisor, Conway,  said, “President Trump has better things to do.  He’s got plenty of capable people who will handle law enforcement properly, unlike the current administration.

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What this shows is Trump is capable of operating a chain of command and Clinton will be dealt with by the proper authorities.  There will be no dog and pony power struggle show only law and order the way it is supposed to operate.

The truth is this nation has been operating under such lawlessness there has been no chain of command….only mandated dictates from the oval office.  Those days are over!

What you are watching is a ruthless media putting out more lies in an effort to disillusion Trump supporters.  Don’t fall for the toxic Kool Aid!

Dianne for The Marshall Report

 

via HOLD ON FOLKS- THE MEDIA IS LYING ABOUT WHAT TRUMP SAID LIKE THEY ALWAYS DO! — THE MARSHALL REPORT

 

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TRUMP Slapped Media

TRUMP’S Victory A Slap on Media

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Clearly it is a Slap right on the face of Arrogant Main Stream Media, The so called Honorable Pollsters and Pundits were so wrong that everything they said all year should have been Scrapped and disregarded. I am sorry I didn’t have the means to do so.

Take example, Las Vegas lawyer Robert Barnes, who has, since the primaries, consistently predicted a Trump victory and who has now made hundreds of thousands of dollars for himself and the clients he advised to place bets on Trump with European bookmakers. The signs he and other gamblers saw — all of them regarded rather Unscientific — turned out to be more valid than the Arrogant opinions and Authoritative-looking calculations of Pollsters, Academics, Political operatives and Veteran commentators and other mercenaries of Main stream Media .

Trump demolished all preconceived notions about American politics and dashed Hillary Clintons hopes of the highest office forever

They should have listened to Barnes, and to dozens of ordinary Americans who explained why they preferred Trump to Clinton. Most were unhappy about their economic situation, particularly rising Obamacare premiums and the precariousness of their incomes, and every one of them considered Clinton corrupt. As one Trump supporter in Orlando put it Tuesday night, “I’d rather have the mafia run the U.S. government than Hillary Clinton: They are less crooked.”

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That should have told them something important — or, rather, confirmed something they came to knew from the Counting Booths and Electoral College.

Trump won because, by the end of his campaign, he wasn’t just a nationalist populist, He was also an anti-corruption crusader.

 “The American people don’t like corruption.”The American People don’t like Crooked Hillary, The American People don’t like Crooked Media.

Despite of all odds Trump managed to strike a chord with the American people as an unorthodox candidate without a political background.

Congratulations and Best of Luck...!

Read stories:

The Trumgeddon

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/trumpgeddon

Early Voting may break hearts

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/04/early-voting-in-2016-us-presidential-polls-may-break-hearts

Hillary Bhakt U.S Media

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/01/hillary-bhakt-u-s-media

Trumpet Sounded: And there came hail and fire

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/10/30/trumpet-sounded

A crooked Election

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/10/29/a-crooked-election

Leaked Emails predicted Trump’s rise

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/leaked-email-predicted-trumps-rise

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Keep Calm when polls show the presidential race swinging wildly

Keep Calm when polls show the presidential race swinging wildly

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Presented here for you a good piece for you to keep in your mind while awaiting the U.S Elections results right in front of your idiot box, it is published in the Big Idea section of Vox meant  for outside contributors’ opinions about, and analysis of, the most important issues in politics and culture.

What do the pre-election polls tell us? We’ve had some big swings: After the Democratic convention, Hillary Clinton seemed to be locking the election up, then Trump came back to a near-tie, then came a series of events — three debates, sexual assault revelations, and a war within the Republican party — which seemed to knock Trump out of the race. Then, more recently, a series of FBI leaks brought the polls back to a near-tie. Put this together, and you get the impression of a volatile electorate: Anything can happen, and all may depend on voters’ reaction to last-minute news of Chris Christie, Melania Trump, or whatever Julian Assange may have up his sleeve.

Actually, though, not many voters change their opinions during the general election campaign. This finding is borne out by my research with Sharad Goel, Doug Rivers, and David Rothschild on surveys during the 2012 campaign, Alan Abramowitz’s analysis of polls during the 2016 campaign showing a nearly perfect tracking between Clinton or Trump support in a survey and the proportion of Democrats or Republicans in the sample, and an analysis by Ben Lauderdale and Doug Riversof surveys during the recent campaign.

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Why, then, do the polls swing so much? This can mostly be explained by differential nonresponse to pollsters: Clinton goes up when fewer Democrats answer a survey, and Trump goes up when Democrats are less likely to respond. As Lauderdale and Rivers put it, “when things are going badly for a candidate, their supporters tend to stop participating in polls.” This is how new events can have big effects on the polls even if they aren’t changing many vote intentions.

For example, after the FBI letter on Clinton a week or so ago, I predicted that Clinton would fall in the polls — not because she was going to lose many votes but because the news would pump up a lot of Trump supporters who would then become more enthusiastic about the election and respond to surveys. The preceding weeks had been full of bad news for the Republican candidate, hence his supporters were dejected and not participating in polls. During that period, I and others suspected that Clinton’s lead in the polls had been exaggerating her strength among the electorate.

Four questions remain:

  1. Why are we talking about all this now; why was differential nonresponse not a part of the conversation in previous elections?
  2. Is this bias a problem with poll aggregators such as Nate Silver?
  3. Does likely voter screening fix the problem?
  4. Supposing that my colleagues and I are right that much of the swing in polls is explainable by differential nonresponse: Would this then also show up as differential voter turnout? In other words, would a failure to respond to polls predict failure to turn up on Election Day?

Here are my answers.

  1. Differential nonresponse is a bigger deal now than it used to be, for two reasons. Survey response rates are lower. Not too many decades ago, quality polls had response rates over 50 percent; now a survey is lucky to get 10 percent participation. As a result, responding to surveys is much more optional, and we’d expect differential nonresponse to be a bigger deal. At the same time, the electorate is more polarized, and fewer people change their minds during the campaign. Thus, compared with previous decades, the “signal” of actual swings is lower and the “noise” of nonresponse is higher, and we need to be concerned about this source of bias more than ever before.
  2. Yes, poll aggregators are subject to this bias, because a poll average or poll-based model is only as good as the surveys that go into it. It would be possible for a forecasting model to attempt to correct for differential nonresponse bias by adjusting surveys based on the partisanship and recalled vote of their respondents, but this would require more information than is usually collected by poll aggregation sites.
  3. No, likely voter screening won’t fix differential nonresponse bias. Actually, it can make the problem worse. Poll fluctuations are driven by fluctuations in enthusiasm, and I’d expect that screening for likely voters — which is just another measure of interest in the election —would just exacerbate the bias and increase these artifactual swings.
  4. Finally, what about voter turnout? Voter turnout rates in the general election for a US president is about 60 percent. Survey response rates are below 10 percent. Survey response is a much more optional thing, hence it makes sense to see much bigger swings in differential survey responses than in differential turnout. So, yes, differential turnout in voting is a thing, it’s just not as big as differential nonresponse in surveys.

Put it together, and what do we have? Very little evidence of opinion swings and months of polls that are consistent with a narrow but stable Clinton lead.

Andrew Gelman is a professor of statistics and political science and director of the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia University. He blogs at Statistical Modeling.

Read further stories:

The Trumgeddon

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/trumpgeddon

Early Voting may break hearts

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/04/early-voting-in-2016-us-presidential-polls-may-break-hearts

Hillary Bhakt U.S Media

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/01/hillary-bhakt-u-s-media

Trumpet Sounded: And there came hail and fire

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/10/30/trumpet-sounded

A crooked Election

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/10/29/a-crooked-election

Leaked Emails predicted Trump’s rise

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/leaked-email-predicted-trumps-rise

arrested-ds-160x32

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com

Along with thanks and compliments to the sources for the shared data

Creative Commons Copyright © Arrested Developments 2015

Media Crooks

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In this section of our site we will explore and discuss how a lack of regulation and absence of a strong  broadcasting system has turned the Media around the world as a drunk and raged elephant trying to destroy the Lion’s Kingdom and lay a New Kingdom and Order of it’s own.

Media is trying to affect everything from politics to Power, Defense to Nations, Industrialists to Economies and Military to Justice.

Media has forgotten it’s actual role.

Why has so much journalism succumbed to propaganda? Why are censorship and distortion standard practice? Why is the BBC & CNN so often a mouthpiece of rapacious power? Why Rajat sharma and Arnab Goswami are called Spoke persons, Why do the New York Times, Times of India, and the Washington Post deceive their readers?

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Why are young journalists not taught to understand media agendas and to challenge the high claims and low purpose of fake objectivity? And why are they not taught that the essence of so much of what’s called the mainstream media is not information, but power?

These are urgent questions. The world is facing the prospect of major war, perhaps nuclear war – India and Pakistan on the verge of full fledged War, the United States clearly determined to isolate and provoke Russia and eventually China.

The truth is being turned upside down and inside out by journalists, including those who promoted the lies.

The times we live in are so dangerous and so distorted in public perception that propaganda is no longer, as Edward Bernays called it, an “invisible government”. It is the government. It rules directly without fear of contradiction and its principal aim is the conquest of us: our sense of the world, our ability to separate truth from lies.

The information age is actually a media age. We have war by media; censorship by media; demonology by media; retribution by media; diversion by media – a surreal assembly line of obedient clichés and false assumptions.

khabar

“When the truth is replaced by silence,” said the Soviet dissident Yevtushenko, “the silence is a lie. “It’s this kind of silence we journalists need to break. We need to show them the mirror. We need to call to account an unaccountable media that services power and a psychosis that threatens world war.

In the 18th century, “Edmund Burke” described the role of the press as a Fourth Estate or Fourth Pillar of a Nation; checking the powerful. Was that ever true?

It certainly doesn’t any more.

What we need is a Fifth Estate: a journalism that monitors, deconstructs and counters propaganda and teaches the young to be agents of people, not power.

US elections and the media

The 2016 presidential election campaign heads into the home stretch, many Americans are accusing their news outlets, particularly on the broadcast side, of not just reporting on the race for the White House – but actually affecting the outcome, through their commercial agendas, prioritizing ratings and revenues over journalism and responsible reporting.

Measuring the totality of media coverage over the entire presidential campaign – the content, the tone, the ideology – is near impossible.

Right from the beginning the press has been willing and eager to call out the Trump campaign for his mistakes.

Yet Trump kept getting stronger. It’s the masses annoyance with media that his poll numbers haven’t dipped through all the controversies.

Read further stories:

The Trumgeddon

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/trumpgeddon

Hillary Bhakt U.S Media

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/01/hillary-bhakt-u-s-media

Trumpet Sounded: And there came hail and fire

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/10/30/trumpet-sounded

A crooked Election

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/10/29/a-crooked-election

Leaked Emails predicted Trump’s rise

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/leaked-email-predicted-trumps-rise

arrested-ds-160x32

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com

Along with thanks and compliments to the sources for the shared data

Creative Commons Copyright © Arrested Developments 2015

Hillary Bhakt U.S Media

Hillary Bhakt (devotees) U.S Media

U.S Media acting like devotees or disciples of Democratic Candidate Hillary Clinton

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Painting: Ramesh Patel, source: http://www.artzolo.com

Of late rise of internet and social media in India has produced a distinctive and peculiar cyber species who tends to be aggressive and over possessive followers of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he has been elected to the office.. These hardcore ardent followers have been termed as “Bhakts” by the Indian Netizens.

The Terminology “Bhakts“(Hinglish)::

Bhakt is a Hindi word meant for a Devotee or Disciple + ‘s‘ the native English suffix is used to make it plural i.e. Bhakt + s = Bhakts

The Netizen’s majority has coined the term Bhakts because these hardcore followers believes in every “True-Lies and Lies-True” uttered by P.M Modi and defends everything un-uttered by him.

Although it’s been discovered later that there are a whole lot of Bhakts sitting in Main stream Indian Media and as of now these netizens claims that most of the Bhakts in Indian Media are identified.

But here the mockery of the situation is that the Pundits of U.S Media are turned into Bhakts of Hillary Clinton.

U.S Media appears like  a blind ‘Bhakt'(disciple or devotee) of “Guru” Hillary Clinton. They admire, praise and cover up  even on issues where Clinton is bad. The irony of the thing is that the supporters of Hillary in Media came out with lies, invented reasons and excuses as well dumb founded justifications like this one given below:

Vote for Hillary even if she is a Crook because Its important.

So far, a handful of Republican office holders have demonstrated the courage and decency to declare, as President George H.W. Bush said of David Duke in 1991, that Donald Trump is unfit for office. But the majority of Republicans, so far, havent demonstrated that level of courage and decency. They seem to still be hoping that the racist, misogynist, ignorant and unstable man who hijacked their partys nomination will change his spots between now and election day.

Or perhaps they feel they have to support Trump because, after all, hes the only viable candidate running against Hillary Clinton, and theyre sure shes a crook.

Hillary Clinton is not a crook.

hillary-point
Is Hillary a crook?

 

The point here is that it doesnt matter whether or not Crooked Hillary is a crook.

So, yeah, I think youre wrong to hate Hillary Clinton and wrong to oppose her. I think she has enormous personal integrity and has consistently demonstrated a strong commitment to moral values far greater than either the commitment or the values of any her critics over the years. And at any other point between now and November, I would be happy to sit down with you to explain why her track record and her policy agenda are things I support with pride and enthusiasm.

But never mind that for now. You think shes a crook?

Fine, lets stipulate that shes a crook. That crook is all thats standing between us and having President Donald Trump redefine the future of this country and of the Republican Party. Donald Trump is unfit for office.

Vote for the crook. Its important.

So you must have heard what great justification given about Hillary.

Another Hillary Bhakt media personnel writes :

Personally I admit that “she is a cynical opportunist who among other things supported the Iraq War ( and yes, I have seen the attempts at rewriting the history here) and who accuses people who struggle for Palestinian rights of antisemitism. But she’s probably emblematic of how politics works in this country.. You run for office, make millions out of office, then run for office again while denying that money has any influence on you.

You pander to donors. You switch positions when it is expedient. On human rights issues you are utterly hypocritical.. (Still I’m voting for Hillary because she’s the first Women candidate running for U.S Presidential post).

What an art invented ‘Bhakt Reasoning”.

Let’s get back to latest Main stream Media Bhakts

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Media Now Claims Russians Have Trump Sex Tape”

How many ways can you say the mainstream media has sunk to a new low?

Over the last 24 hours they have been pushing a debunked story about Donald Trump being controlled by the Kremlin. You’ll have to give The New York Times some credit for shooting down the bullshit coming from Slate and Mother Jones, but you have to wonder if the truth will get as much play as the lies.

No Way Truth will get as much play as lies because, The best quote, so far, from this election is from Putin. And know it very well this quote hasn’t garnered more attention or say more plays: Putin said “If I wanted to influence American Politics, I would have just donated to the Clinton Foundation.”

Anyway Some of the more rabid members of the press simply refuse to let this Sex Tape line of attack go, however. How can you keep the story line rolling in the face of this huge slap down?

Make up a lie about the Russians having Sex Tapes starring Donald Trump, of course !

Why didn’t any Trump supporter think of doing something similar to Hillary?

Possibly because she’s completely undesirable.. ?

But it’s also because None among the public is in the habit of printing stories or spreading rumors that have no basis in reality.

Luckily for them, the ruling media class has no such qualms.

they’ll run it over and over.. Breaking.. Highlighting .. Discussing hours in studios.

 

trumpcard

When Trump does say something that seems sensible like cutting back on our idiotic military interventions (an issue where Clinton should be vulnerable), Media goes silent, even media immediately ruins it by pointing out something insensible or highlighting any casual utterance of Trump.

In the meantime:

National polls showed a dead heat in the presidential contest between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump with the election less than eight days away.

In the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania, Clinton held a slim 2-point lead but Trump held 2-point and 7-point edges in North Carolina and Georgia, respectively. Clinton had a 1-point lead in Colorado while Trump led by 4 points in Nevada.

The campaign is in its final week before the Nov. 8 balloting.

A poll of New Hampshire voters indicates Donald Trump is leading Hillary Clinton 45 percent to 43 percent. The poll by the New Hampshire Journal/Inside Sources indicates the bulk of Clinton’s support comes from women while Trump’s support is split equally among men and women.

 

https://www.facebook.com/plugins/video.php?href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2FDonaldTrump%2Fvideos%2F10158048880970725%2F&show_text=1&width=400

 

What they are not realizing is people are loving Trump even if he talks insensible on occasions.

You need to realize Trump may Win.

 

Links:

http://www.hillaryclinton.com

http://www.donaldjtrump.com

 

 

Arrested-Devhttps://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com

Along with thanks and compliments to the sources for the shared data

Creative Commons Copyright © Arrested Developments 2015

TRUMPET SOUNDED

trump-oct-28

Trumpet Sounded

and there came hail and fire mixed with allegations and it was hurled down upon the one Trumpeting.

Donald Trump’s campaign has marched from allegations to Criticisms and firing attacks of disdain and scandals ever since he became the presidential nominee for 2016 Election. 


After a whole lot of on going dramas, mud throwing and brick batting on Trump, Just in the final days of polling, he is once again criticized, labeled and rounded to be an anti-Semitic.. Which as per the circumstances very much expected after all it’s the last over of the game and people do remember the last over.


The press has been always willing and eager to call out the Trump campaign for his mistakes. But this is one hold back topic which could be resulted in the same kind of blanket national media attention and outrage that Hillary people want, also this will remain in the minds of the voters heading for polling booths.. Advantage – Hillary.

This time the reason being just a person from the crowd in Trump’s rally..

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A Donald Trump supporter decided to get in the media’s face tonight by screaming at them during the Trumps rally.

A Donald Trump supporter decided to get in the media’s face tonight by screaming at them during the mogul’s rally.

The incidence took place in Phoenix As Trump was pumping up the crowd, one of his rallygoers decided to turn around and directly confronted the journalists with an anti-Semitic chant and hand gestures.  


The man seemed to be acting on his own, turning around to face the members of the press directly and yell: “You’re going down! You’re the enemy!” In case there was any doubt about who he was talking to, he pointed at the journalists who were in the designated press section.


The crowd then proceeded to chant “USA! USA!” and the man, who was wearing a “Hillary for Prison” T-shirt, joined in with his own little chant: “Jew S.A.! Jew S.A.!” He also made hand gestures that looked like a variation of a white supremacist symbol. (CNN reports)


Reporters covering Donald Trump rallies are used to getting booed  and  why not ?


Reporters love Hillary too much and hate Trump more than anything then whats wrong when his supporters hate media. After all, the Republican presidential candidate often criticizes the news media, and his supporters like to let journalists know they are angry.

You’ll get what you have earned, why complain?

Although Trump spokeswoman Hope Hicks said the campaign strongly condemns this kind of rhetoric and behavior. It is not acceptable at our rallies or elsewhere.


Even though there are further attempts to labeled him Anti-semitic:

In recent interview with the Washington Post, Jonathan Greenblatt, the head of the Anti-Defamation League, said some of Trumps rhetoric sounds as if it is coming straight out of the Protocols of Zion. 


Although Greenblatt was sure to note theres no way to know whether Trump is intentionally fanning anti-Semitic sentiment, but whether its the speechwriters or his supporters, were seeing tropes and stereotypes about Jews dominating the global banking system.

global-banks-21968717


Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump spoke in West Palm Beach, Florida, using language which some called veiled anti-Semitism. In the speech, Trump addressed the recent Wikileak hacks of the campaigns of Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, which Trump said implicate Clinton in a global conspiracy. In the most eye-catching sentence, Trump said that “Hillary Clinton meets in secret with international banks to plot the destruction of US sovereignty in order to enrich these global financial powers, her special interest friends, and her donors.”


Below, find a larger selection from the speech, so you can judge for yourself if Trump was being anti-Semitic.


“The establishment has trillions of dollars at stake in this election. As an example, just one single trade deal they’d like to pass involves trillions of dollars controlled by many countries, corporations, and lobbyists.


“For those who control the levers of power in Washington and for the global special interests, they partner with these people that don’t have your good in mind. Our campaign represents a true existential threat, like they haven’t seen before. 


This is not simply another four-year election. This is a crossroads in the history of our civilization that will determine whether or not we, the people, reclaim control over our government. 


The political establishment that is trying to stop us is the same group responsible for our disastrous trade deals, massive illegal immigration, and economic and foreign policies that have bled our country has brought about the destruction of our factories, China and other countries all around the world.

global-bankingep

“Our just-announced job numbers are anemic. Our gross domestic product, or GDP, is barely above 1 percent and going down. Workers in the United States are making less than they were almost 20 years ago, and yet they are working harder, but so am I, working harder. That I can tell you. It’s a global power structure that is responsible for the economic decisions that have robbed our working class, stripped our country of its wealth, and put that money into the pockets of a handful of large corporations and political entities.

“Just look at what this corrupt establishment has done to cities like Detroit, Flint, Michigan, and rural towns in Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, and all across our country. Take a look at what’s going on. They’ve stripped away these towns bare and raided the wealth for themselves and taken our jobs away, out of our country, never to return unless I’m elected president. The Clinton machine is at the center of this power structure.

“We’ve seen this firsthand in the WikiLeaks documents in which Hillary Clinton meets in secret with international banks to plot the destruction of US sovereignty in order to enrich these global financial powers, her special interest friends, and her donors.


Now say for yourself “What’s Anti-Semitic have you got out of it ?

Hillary Bhakt (disciple) Media

U.S Media appears like  a blind ‘Bhakt'(disciple or recruits) of “Guru” Hillary Clinton even on issues where Clinton is bad. The irony of the thing is that the supporters of Hillary in Media came out with lies, invented reasons and excuses as well dumb founded justifications like this one given below:

Vote for Hillary even if she is a Crook because Its important.


So far, a handful of Republican office holders have demonstrated the courage and decency to declare, as President George H.W. Bush said of David Duke in 1991, that Donald Trump is unfit for office. But the majority of Republicans, so far, havent demonstrated that level of courage and decency. They seem to still be hoping that the racist, misogynist, ignorant and unstable man who hijacked their partys nomination will change his spots between now and election day.

Or perhaps they feel they have to support Trump because, after all, hes the only viable candidate running against Hillary Clinton, and theyre sure shes a crook.

Hillary Clinton is not a crook.

hillary-point
Is Hillary a crook?

 

The point here is that it doesnt matter whether or not Crooked Hillary is a crook.

So, yeah, I think youre wrong to hate Hillary Clinton and wrong to oppose her. I think she has enormous personal integrity and has consistently demonstrated a strong commitment to moral values far greater than either the commitment or the values of any her critics over the years. And at any other point between now and November, I would be happy to sit down with you to explain why her track record and her policy agenda are things I support with pride and enthusiasm.

But never mind that for now. You think shes a crook?

Fine, lets stipulate that shes a crook. That crook is all thats standing between us and having President Donald Trump redefine the future of this country and of the Republican Party. Donald Trump is unfit for office.

Vote for the crook. Its important.

So you must of heard what great justification given about Hillary.

Another Hillary Bhakt media personnel writes:

Personally I admit that “she is a cynical opportunist who among other things supported the Iraq War ( and yes, I have seen the attempts at rewriting the history here) and who accuses people who struggle for Palestinian rights of antisemitism. But she’s probably emblematic of how politics works in this country.. You run for office, make millions out of office, then run for office again while denying that money has any influence on you. You pander to donors. You switch positions when it is expedient. On human rights issues you are utterly hypocritical.. (Still I’m voting for Hillary because she’s the first Women candidate running for U.S Presidential post).

What an art invented called ‘Bhakt Reasonings”.


When Trump does say something that seems sensible like cutting back on our idiotic military interventions (an issue where Clinton should be vulnerable), Media goes silent, even media immediately ruins it by pointing out something insensible or highlighting any casual utterance of Trump.

What they are not realizing is people are loving Trump even if he talks insensible on occasions.


You need to realize Trump may Win.

Read further stories:

The Trumgeddon

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/trumpgeddon

Hillary Bhakt U.S Media

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/01/hillary-bhakt-u-s-media

Trumpet Sounded: And there came hail and fire

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/10/30/trumpet-sounded

Leaked Emails predicted Trump’s rise

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com/2016/11/06/leaked-email-predicted-trumps-rise




Arrested-Dev

https://arresteddevelopments.wordpress.com

Along with thanks and compliments to the sources for the shared data

Creative Commons Copyright © Arrested Developments 2015